Analysis
What the index shows, what it does not show, and what changed. Every piece works from the published data and says which release it used.
- Paralegals score higher than lawyers, and the reason is not seniority
The exposed part of legal work is concentrated in a specific kind of task, and it is not distributed by rank.
- Radiology is the clearest test of the assisted band
Forty-eight occupations in this release are highly capable and heavily frictioned at the same time. What happens to them is the real question.
- In healthcare, the licensed professionals are more exposed than the aides
Healthcare practitioners score a median of 18.5%. Healthcare support scores 11.9%. The gap runs in the opposite direction to most expectations.
- The degree premium is now an exposure premium, up to a point
Exposure rises with the education a job requires, then falls again at the top. The most exposed tier is not the one most people expect.
- Scheduling is the most exposed thing anybody does at work
Of the 41 families of work activity in the taxonomy, one scores far above the rest, and it sits inside almost every office job.
- What an exposure score is not
The five things this index is most likely to be misread as saying, and what it actually says instead.
- The spread inside a job family is wider than the gap between families
Knowing someone works in construction, or in the arts, or in transport tells you much less than it appears to.
- What protects work is not mainly that it is physical
Across every task in the index, private and situational knowledge accounts for more friction than embodiment does.
- Why this index rates activities rather than occupations
Every other AI exposure measure scores jobs. Scoring the wrong unit is why their numbers cannot be checked.
- The most exposed occupational family is the one building the technology
Computer and mathematical occupations score higher on exposed task share than any other group in the index, including office administration.