The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 15-1221.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Computer and Information Research Scientists

Conduct research into fundamental computer and information science as theorists, designers, or inventors. Develop solutions to problems in the field of computer hardware and software.

Reading this score

computed

53.0% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Computer and Information Research Scientists at the 91th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 3.1 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 15 tasks it averages 1.97 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Conduct logical analyses of business, scientific, engineering, and other technical problems,..., at 86.7%. The least is Participate in multidisciplinary projects in areas such as virtual reality, human-computer..., at 23.3%. A gap of 63.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within computer and mathematical occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 57.8% across the group's 36 roles, with 23 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 15 tasks, 14 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 0 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take cheaper ways to verify output, since the cost of checking is currently doing more to hold this work in place than the cost of producing it. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

15 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Conduct logical analyses of business, scientific, engineering, and other technical problems, formulating mathematical models of problems for solution by computers.86.7%13.3%0.0%3.61exposed
Analyze problems to develop solutions involving computer hardware and software.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.24exposed
Develop performance standards, and evaluate work in light of established standards.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.14exposed
Assign or schedule tasks to meet work priorities and goals.66.7%33.3%0.0%3.76exposed
Apply theoretical expertise and innovation to create or apply new technology, such as adapting principles for applying computers to new uses.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.89exposed
Meet with managers, vendors, and others to solicit cooperation and resolve problems.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.64exposed
Design computers and the software that runs them.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.63exposed
Approve, prepare, monitor, and adjust operational budgets.50.0%25.0%25.0%2.77exposed
Evaluate project plans and proposals to assess feasibility issues.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.46exposed
Maintain network hardware and software, direct network security measures, and monitor networks to ensure availability to system users.41.7%20.8%37.5%3.69exposed
Consult with users, management, vendors, and technicians to determine computing needs and system requirements.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.35exposed
Develop and interpret organizational goals, policies, and procedures.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.20exposed
Participate in staffing decisions and direct training of subordinates.33.3%29.2%37.5%2.95exposed
Direct daily operations of departments, coordinating project activities with other departments.26.7%23.3%50.0%3.33exposed
Participate in multidisciplinary projects in areas such as virtual reality, human-computer interaction, or robotics.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.37assisted

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability3.070-4
Embodiment0.200-3
Presence0.800-3
Accountability0.930-3
Context1.970-3
Verification cost1.500-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.