The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 27-1012.00 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: Craft Artists

Create or reproduce handmade objects for sale and exhibition using a variety of techniques, such as welding, weaving, pottery, and needlecraft.

Reading this score

computed

At 34.5% of weighted task load, Craft Artists sits at the 59th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 50.9% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 16 tasks it averages 1.47 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Research craft trends, venues, and customer buying patterns to inspire designs and marketing..., at 86.7%. The least is Pack products for shipping, at 0.0%. A gap of 86.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within arts, design, entertainment, sports and media occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 38.5% across the group's 40 roles, with 24 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 16 tasks, 10 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 6 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take capability alone, since there is little structural friction here to slow adoption once a system can do the work. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.030-4
Embodiment1.410-3
Presence0.560-3
Accountability0.250-3
Context1.470-3
Verification cost0.910-3

Task by task

16 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Research craft trends, venues, and customer buying patterns to inspire designs and marketing strategies.86.7%13.3%0.0%2.95exposed
Set specifications for materials, dimensions, and finishes.61.3%26.2%12.5%4.06exposed
Develop product packaging, display, and pricing strategies.60.0%15.0%25.0%3.40exposed
Advertise products and work, using media such as internet advertising and brochures.55.0%20.0%25.0%4.05exposed
Plan and attend craft shows to market products.55.0%20.0%25.0%3.19exposed
Develop concepts or creative ideas for craft objects.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.64exposed
Confer with customers to assess customer needs or obtain feedback.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.33exposed
Select materials for use based on strength, color, texture, balance, weight, size, malleability and other characteristics.33.3%16.7%50.0%4.91exposed
Sketch or draw objects to be crafted.33.3%16.7%50.0%3.95exposed
Develop designs using specialized computer software.33.3%16.7%50.0%3.08exposed
Fabricate patterns or templates to guide craft production.16.7%8.3%75.0%3.69untouched
Create prototypes or models of objects to be crafted.16.7%8.3%75.0%3.50untouched
Create functional or decorative objects by hand, using a variety of methods and materials.15.0%10.0%75.0%4.70untouched
Cut, shape, fit, join, mold, or otherwise process materials, using hand tools, power tools, or machinery.15.0%10.0%75.0%4.36untouched
Apply finishes to objects being crafted.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched
Pack products for shipping.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.86untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.