The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 39-1022.00 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers

Supervise and coordinate activities of personal service workers.

Reading this score

computed

41.0% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers at the 72th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.7 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 17 tasks it averages 1.88 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Requisition necessary supplies, equipment, or services, at 80.0%. The least is Participate in continuing education to stay abreast of industry trends and developments, at 13.3%. A gap of 66.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within personal care and service occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 31 roles in the group is 23.4%, and only 1 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 17 tasks, 11 are currently banded exposed, 3 assisted and 3 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take systems being given deeper access to the organisation's own records and history, which is already happening. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

17 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Requisition necessary supplies, equipment, or services.80.0%20.0%0.0%3.71exposed
Arrange worker breaks to ensure services are adequately staffed throughout each shift.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.94exposed
Assign work schedules, following work requirements, to ensure quality and timely delivery of service.66.7%33.3%0.0%4.36exposed
Inform management about problems, such as employee disputes.66.7%33.3%0.0%3.97exposed
Direct marketing, advertising, or other customer recruitment efforts.55.0%20.0%25.0%3.41exposed
Resolve customer complaints regarding worker performance or services rendered.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.30exposed
Apply customer feedback to service improvement efforts.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.93exposed
Inform workers about interests or special needs of specific groups.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.79exposed
Recruit and hire staff members.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.32exposed
Train workers in proper operational procedures and functions and explain company policies.37.5%25.0%37.5%4.55exposed
Meet with managers or other supervisors to stay informed of changes affecting operations.33.3%16.7%50.0%4.41exposed
Take disciplinary action to address performance problems.25.0%50.0%25.0%4.23assisted
Observe and evaluate workers' appearance and performance to ensure quality service and compliance with specifications.25.0%50.0%25.0%4.11assisted
Investigate employee complaints and resolve problems following management rules and regulations.20.0%30.0%50.0%4.13assisted
Inspect work areas or operating equipment to ensure conformance to established standards in areas such as cleanliness or maintenance.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.14untouched
Direct or coordinate the activities of workers, such as hotel staff or hair stylists.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.05untouched
Participate in continuing education to stay abreast of industry trends and developments.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.01untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.740-4
Embodiment0.380-3
Presence1.260-3
Accountability1.210-3
Context1.880-3
Verification cost1.440-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.