The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 39-3011.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Gambling Dealers

Operate table games. Stand or sit behind table and operate games of chance by dispensing the appropriate number of cards or blocks to players, or operating other gambling equipment. Distribute winnings or collect players' money or chips. May compare the house's hand against players' hands.

Reading this score

computed

At 22.4% of weighted task load, Gambling Dealers sits at the 42th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 63.9% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 21 tasks it averages 2.19 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Compute amounts of players' wins or losses, or scan winning tickets presented by patrons to..., at 86.7%. The least is Seat patrons at gaming tables, at 0.0%. A gap of 86.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within personal care and service occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 24.4% across the group's 31 roles, with 17 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 21 tasks, 5 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 15 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.550-4
Embodiment2.190-3
Presence2.190-3
Accountability0.980-3
Context1.190-3
Verification cost0.860-3

Task by task

21 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Compute amounts of players' wins or losses, or scan winning tickets presented by patrons to calculate the amount of money won.86.7%13.3%0.0%4.60exposed
Refer patrons to gaming cashiers to collect winnings.86.7%13.3%0.0%3.87exposed
Answer questions about game rules and casino policies.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.51exposed
Prepare collection reports for submission to supervisors.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.12exposed
Train new dealers.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.18exposed
Receive, verify, and record patrons' cash wagers.23.3%26.7%50.0%4.69assisted
Supervise staff and monitor gambling tables to ensure security of the game.16.2%21.2%62.5%4.61untouched
Greet customers and make them feel welcome.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.89untouched
Inspect cards and equipment to be used in games to ensure that they are in good condition.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.79untouched
Check to ensure that all players have placed bets before play begins.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.83untouched
Deal cards to house hands, and compare these with players' hands to determine winners, as in black jack.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.78untouched
Stand behind a gaming table and deal the appropriate number of cards to each player.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.75untouched
Apply rule variations to card games such as poker, in which players bet on the value of their hands.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.70untouched
Conduct gambling games, such as dice, roulette, cards, or keno, following all applicable rules and regulations.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.66untouched
Work as part of a team of dealers in games, such as baccarat or craps.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.63untouched
Start and control games and gaming equipment, and announce winning numbers or colors.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.61untouched
Open and close cash floats and game tables.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.51untouched
Participate in games for gambling establishments to provide the minimum complement of players at a table.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.04untouched
Pay winnings or collect losing bets as established by the rules and procedures of a specific game.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.92untouched
Exchange paper currency for playing chips or coin money.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.83untouched
Seat patrons at gaming tables.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.