The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 27-1024.00 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Graphic Designers

Design or create graphics to meet specific commercial or promotional needs, such as packaging, displays, or logos. May use a variety of mediums to achieve artistic or decorative effects.

Reading this score

computed

51.2% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Graphic Designers at the 89th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.8 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

No single friction dominates this occupation. The strongest is context at 1.46 out of 3 and the weakest is accountability at 0.29, which is a narrow spread. Where nothing structural stands in the way, exposure tracks capability almost directly, and capability is the thing that changes every quarter.

The most exposed thing this job does is Research new software or design concepts, at 86.7%. The least is Photograph layouts, at 15.0%. A gap of 71.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within arts, design, entertainment, sports and media occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 40 roles in the group is 36.4%, and only 7 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 19 tasks, 18 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 1 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take capability alone, since there is little structural friction here to slow adoption once a system can do the work. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

19 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Research new software or design concepts.86.7%13.3%0.0%3.50exposed
Write or edit copy for clients.86.7%13.3%0.0%2.82exposed
Maintain archive of images, photos, or previous work products.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.10exposed
Determine size and arrangement of illustrative material and copy, and select style and size of type.65.0%10.0%25.0%4.60exposed
Use computer software to generate new images.65.0%10.0%25.0%4.47exposed
Mark up, paste, and assemble final layouts to prepare layouts for printer.65.0%10.0%25.0%4.13exposed
Prepare notes and instructions for workers who assemble and prepare final layouts for printing.65.0%10.0%25.0%4.00exposed
Produce still and animated graphics for on-air and taped portions of television news broadcasts, using electronic video equipment.65.0%10.0%25.0%3.00exposed
Research the target audience of projects.64.8%18.5%16.7%4.25exposed
Study illustrations and photographs to plan presentation of materials, products, or services.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.10exposed
Review final layouts and suggest improvements, as needed.47.5%27.5%25.0%4.65exposed
Confer with clients to discuss and determine layout design.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.28exposed
Prepare illustrations or rough sketches of material, discussing them with clients or supervisors and making necessary changes.39.6%22.9%37.5%4.00exposed
Prepare digital files for printing.33.3%16.7%50.0%4.45exposed
Draw and print charts, graphs, illustrations, and other artwork, using computer.33.3%16.7%50.0%4.15exposed
Key information into computer equipment to create layouts for client or supervisor.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.70exposed
Develop graphics and layouts for product illustrations, company logos, and Web sites.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.56exposed
Create designs, concepts, and sample layouts, based on knowledge of layout principles and esthetic design concepts.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.50exposed
Photograph layouts, using camera, to make layout prints for supervisors or clients.15.0%10.0%75.0%2.84untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.780-4
Embodiment0.790-3
Presence0.540-3
Accountability0.290-3
Context1.460-3
Verification cost0.940-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.