The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 53-7062.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand

Manually move freight, stock, luggage, or other materials, or perform other general labor. Includes all manual laborers not elsewhere classified.

Reading this score

computed

At 16.4% of weighted task load, Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand sits at the 27th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 76.6% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 13 tasks it averages 2.62 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Record numbers of units handled or moved, at 73.3%. The least is Connect electrical equipment to power sources so that it can be tested before use, at 0.0%. A gap of 73.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within transportation and material moving occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 24.3% across the group's 52 roles, with 37 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 13 tasks, 3 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 10 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.690-4
Embodiment2.620-3
Presence0.270-3
Accountability0.580-3
Context0.650-3
Verification cost0.880-3

Task by task

13 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.02exposed
Read work orders or receive oral instructions to determine work assignments or material or equipment needs.55.0%20.0%25.0%4.13exposed
Maintain equipment storage areas to ensure that inventory is protected.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.48exposed
Move freight, stock, or other materials to and from storage or production areas, loading docks, delivery vehicles, ships, or containers, by hand or using trucks, tractors, or other equipment.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.05untouched
Install protective devices, such as bracing, padding, or strapping, to prevent shifting or damage to items being transported.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.52untouched
Sort cargo before loading and unloading.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.26untouched
Attach identifying tags to containers or mark them with identifying information.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.14untouched
Attach slings, hooks, or other devices to lift cargo and guide loads.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.97untouched
Carry needed tools or supplies from storage or trucks and return them after use.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.58untouched
Pack containers and re-pack damaged containers.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.29untouched
Assemble product containers or crates, using hand tools and precut lumber.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.24untouched
Adjust controls to guide, position, or move equipment, such as cranes, booms, or cameras.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.12untouched
Connect electrical equipment to power sources so that it can be tested before use.0.0%0.0%100.0%2.86untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.