The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 19-1031.02 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Range Managers

Research or study range land management practices to provide sustained production of forage, livestock, and wildlife.

Reading this score

computed

30.3% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Range Managers at the 54th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.2 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 18 tasks it averages 1.94 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Develop technical standards and specifications used to manage, protect, and improve the natural..., at 50.0%. The least is Apply herbicide to eliminate harmful plants, at 0.0%. A gap of 50.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within life, physical and social science occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 36.3% across the group's 60 roles, with 39 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 18 tasks, 10 are currently banded exposed, 5 assisted and 3 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take cheaper ways to verify output, since the cost of checking is currently doing more to hold this work in place than the cost of producing it. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

18 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Develop technical standards and specifications used to manage, protect, and improve the natural resources of range lands and related grazing lands.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.55exposed
Study grazing patterns to determine number and kind of livestock that can be most profitably grazed and to determine the best grazing seasons.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.30exposed
Study rangeland management practices and research range problems to provide sustained production of forage, livestock, and wildlife.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.17exposed
Offer advice to rangeland users on water management, forage production methods, and control of brush.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.13exposed
Coordinate with federal land managers and other agencies and organizations to manage and protect rangelands.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.05exposed
Study forage plants and their growth requirements to determine varieties best suited to particular range.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.55exposed
Manage private livestock operations.33.3%29.2%37.5%3.82exposed
Regulate grazing, such as by issuing permits and checking for compliance with standards, and help ranchers plan and organize grazing systems to manage, improve, protect, and maximize the use of rangelands.27.2%31.1%41.7%3.74assisted
Tailor conservation plans to landowners' goals, such as livestock support, wildlife, or recreation.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.35exposed
Maintain soil stability and vegetation for non-grazing uses, such as wildlife habitats and outdoor recreation.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.24exposed
Manage forage resources through fire, herbicide use, or revegetation to maintain a sustainable yield from the land.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.23exposed
Plan and implement revegetation of disturbed sites.25.0%25.0%50.0%3.85assisted
Plan and direct construction and maintenance of range improvements, such as fencing, corrals, stock-watering reservoirs, and soil-erosion control structures.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.81assisted
Develop new and improved instruments and techniques for activities, such as range reseeding.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.18assisted
Develop methods for protecting range from fire and rodent damage and for controlling poisonous plants.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.00assisted
Measure and assess vegetation resources for biological assessment companies, environmental impact statements, and rangeland monitoring programs.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.00untouched
Mediate agreements among rangeland users and preservationists as to appropriate land use and management.6.7%18.3%75.0%4.20untouched
Apply herbicide to eliminate harmful plants.0.0%0.0%100.0%2.86untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.160-4
Embodiment1.170-3
Presence0.820-3
Accountability1.290-3
Context1.940-3
Verification cost1.890-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.