The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 51-6042.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Shoe Machine Operators and Tenders

Operate or tend a variety of machines to join, decorate, reinforce, or finish shoes and shoe parts.

Reading this score

computed

Shoe Machine Operators and Tenders is among the least exposed occupations measured, at 7.6% of weighted task load, rank 834 of 923. 88.2% of this job is work current AI systems cannot produce at all. That is not a statement about skill or value. It is a statement about what these systems can and cannot do.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 19 tasks it averages 2.84 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Study work orders or shoe part tags to obtain information about workloads, specifications, and..., at 55.0%. The least is Hammer loose staples for proper attachment, at 0.0%. A gap of 55.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within production occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 16.2% across the group's 107 roles, with 93 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 19 tasks, 1 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 18 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.360-4
Embodiment2.840-3
Presence0.120-3
Accountability0.240-3
Context0.730-3
Verification cost0.370-3

Task by task

19 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Study work orders or shoe part tags to obtain information about workloads, specifications, and the types of materials to be used.55.0%20.0%25.0%4.34exposed
Select and place spools of thread or pre-wound bobbins into shuttles, or onto spindles or loupers of stitching machines.27.5%10.0%62.5%4.18untouched
Inspect finished products to ensure that shoes have been completed according to specifications.12.5%12.5%75.0%4.68untouched
Test machinery to ensure proper functioning before beginning production.11.7%13.3%75.0%4.22untouched
Perform routine equipment maintenance such as cleaning and lubricating machines or replacing broken needles.4.6%3.7%91.7%4.27untouched
Align parts to be stitched, following seams, edges, or markings, before positioning them under needles.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.67untouched
Operate or tend machines to join, decorate, reinforce, or finish shoes and shoe parts.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.47untouched
Remove and examine shoes, shoe parts, and designs to verify conformance to specifications such as proper embedding of stitches in channels.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.46untouched
Switch on machines, lower pressure feet or rollers to secure parts, and start machine stitching, using hand, foot, or knee controls.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched
Draw thread through machine guide slots, needles, and presser feet in preparation for stitching, or load rolls of wire through machine axles.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.35untouched
Cut excess thread or material from shoe parts, using scissors or knives.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.13untouched
Turn knobs to adjust stitch length and thread tension.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.98untouched
Fill shuttle spools with thread from a machine's bobbin winder by pressing a foot treadle.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched
Staple sides of shoes, pressing a foot treadle to position and hold each shoe under the feeder of the machine.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.38untouched
Position dies on material in a manner that will obtain the maximum number of parts from each portion of material.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.23untouched
Collect shoe parts from conveyer belts or racks and place them in machinery such as ovens or on molds for dressing, returning them to conveyers or racks to send them to the next work station.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.18untouched
Turn setscrews on needle bars, and position required numbers of needles in stitching machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.00untouched
Turn screws to regulate size of staples.0.0%0.0%100.0%untouched
Hammer loose staples for proper attachment.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.62untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean. 1 task(s) lacked a usable O*NET weight and are shown but excluded from the weighting.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.