The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 11-9179.02 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: Spa Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate activities of a spa facility. Coordinate programs, schedule and direct staff, and oversee financial activities.

Reading this score

computed

44.3% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Spa Managers at the 79th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.7 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 21 tasks it averages 1.79 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Schedule guest appointments, at 93.3%. The least is Direct facility maintenance or repair, at 10.0%. A gap of 83.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within management occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 56 roles in the group is 41.2%, and only 12 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 21 tasks, 16 are currently banded exposed, 2 assisted and 3 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take systems being given deeper access to the organisation's own records and history, which is already happening. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

21 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Schedule guest appointments.93.3%6.7%0.0%3.98exposed
Coordinate facility schedules to maximize usage and efficiency.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.36exposed
Maintain client databases.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.12exposed
Schedule staff or supervise scheduling.66.7%33.3%0.0%4.12exposed
Perform accounting duties, such as recording daily cash flow, preparing bank deposits, or generating financial statements.60.0%40.0%0.0%4.41exposed
Inventory products and order new supplies.52.5%22.5%25.0%4.04exposed
Respond to customer inquiries or complaints.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.64exposed
Verify staff credentials, such as educational and certification requirements.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.21exposed
Establish spa budgets and financial goals.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.20exposed
Develop or implement marketing strategies.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.90exposed
Plan or direct spa services and programs.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.85exposed
Recruit, interview, or hire employees.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.14exposed
Develop staff service or retail goals and guide staff in goal achievement.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.14exposed
Inform staff of job responsibilities, performance expectations, client service standards, or corporate policies and guidelines.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.04exposed
Train staff in the use or sale of products, programs, or activities.30.0%20.0%50.0%4.00exposed
Sell products, services, or memberships.30.0%20.0%50.0%3.92exposed
Assess employee performance and suggest ways to improve work.25.0%50.0%25.0%4.25assisted
Monitor operations to ensure compliance with applicable health, safety, or hygiene standards.16.7%33.3%50.0%4.22assisted
Check spa equipment to ensure proper functioning.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.21untouched
Participate in continuing education classes to maintain current knowledge of industry.13.3%11.7%75.0%3.79untouched
Direct facility maintenance or repair.10.0%15.0%75.0%3.81untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.710-4
Embodiment0.640-3
Presence1.050-3
Accountability1.000-3
Context1.790-3
Verification cost1.360-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.