AI exposure: Transportation Engineers
Develop plans for surface transportation projects, according to established engineering standards and state or federal construction policy. Prepare designs, specifications, or estimates for transportation facilities. Plan modifications of existing streets, highways, or freeways to improve traffic flow.
Reading this score
computed38.9% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Transportation Engineers at the 69th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.6 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.
What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 26 tasks it averages 1.96 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.
The most exposed thing this job does is Prepare administrative, technical, or statistical reports on traffic-operation matters, at 73.3%. The least is Inspect completed transportation projects to ensure compliance with environmental regulations, at 8.3%. A gap of 65.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.
Within architecture and engineering occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 56 roles in the group is 37.5%, and only 18 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.
What would move this score. Of 26 tasks, 16 are currently banded exposed, 6 assisted and 4 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take a change in who is permitted to sign the work, which is a question for regulators rather than for engineers. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.
Task by task
26 tasks, O*NET 31.0| Task | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Importance | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prepare administrative, technical, or statistical reports on traffic-operation matters, such as accidents, safety measures, or pedestrian volume or practices. | 73.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 4.10 | exposed |
| Plan alteration or modification of existing transportation structures to improve safety or function. | 73.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 4.09 | exposed |
| Develop plans to deconstruct damaged or obsolete roadways or other transportation structures in a manner that is environmentally sound or prepares the land for sustainable development. | 73.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 2.85 | exposed |
| Prepare project budgets, schedules, or specifications for labor or materials. | 61.1% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 3.71 | exposed |
| Estimate transportation project costs. | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 3.91 | exposed |
| Evaluate traffic control devices or lighting systems to determine need for modification or expansion. | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 3.75 | exposed |
| Evaluate transportation systems or traffic control devices or lighting systems to determine need for modification or expansion. | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 3.65 | exposed |
| Develop or assist in the development of transportation-related computer software or computer processes. | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 3.00 | exposed |
| Check construction plans, design calculations, or cost estimations to ensure completeness, accuracy, or conformity to engineering standards or practices. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 4.23 | exposed |
| Review development plans to determine potential traffic impact. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 3.68 | exposed |
| Model transportation scenarios to evaluate the impacts of activities such as new development or to identify possible solutions to transportation problems. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 3.45 | exposed |
| Evaluate construction project materials for compliance with environmental standards. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 3.26 | exposed |
| Present data, maps, or other information at construction-related public hearings or meetings. | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% | 4.00 | exposed |
| Investigate traffic problems and recommend methods to improve traffic flow or safety. | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% | 3.91 | exposed |
| Design transportation systems or structures with sustainable materials or products, such as porous pavement or bioretention structures. | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% | 3.09 | exposed |
| Confer with contractors, utility companies, or government agencies to discuss plans, specifications, or work schedules. | 35.0% | 40.0% | 25.0% | 4.00 | assisted |
| Design or engineer drainage, erosion, or sedimentation control systems for transportation projects. | 26.7% | 23.3% | 50.0% | 3.79 | exposed |
| Prepare final project layout drawings that include details such as stress calculations. | 23.3% | 26.7% | 50.0% | 3.94 | assisted |
| Participate in contract bidding, negotiation, or administration. | 23.3% | 26.7% | 50.0% | 3.38 | assisted |
| Design or prepare plans for new transportation systems or parts of systems, such as airports, commuter trains, highways, streets, bridges, drainage structures, or roadway lighting. | 20.0% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 4.55 | assisted |
| Analyze environmental impact statements for transportation projects. | 20.0% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 3.55 | assisted |
| Direct the surveying, staking, or laying-out of construction projects. | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 3.19 | assisted |
| Supervise the maintenance or repair of transportation systems or system components. | 10.0% | 15.0% | 75.0% | 3.50 | untouched |
| Investigate or test specific construction project materials to determine compliance to specifications or standards. | 10.0% | 15.0% | 75.0% | 3.50 | untouched |
| Inspect completed transportation projects to ensure safety or compliance with applicable standards or regulations. | 8.3% | 16.7% | 75.0% | 3.70 | untouched |
| Inspect completed transportation projects to ensure compliance with environmental regulations. | 8.3% | 16.7% | 75.0% | 3.41 | untouched |
Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.
Where the score comes from
judgedEvery task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 2.59 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 0.85 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 0.58 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 1.64 | 0-3 |
| Context | 1.96 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 1.82 | 0-3 |
What this means in practice
Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.
Occupations either side of this one
The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.
Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.