The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 11-3021.00 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Computer and Information Systems Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate activities in such fields as electronic data processing, information systems, systems analysis, and computer programming.

Reading this score

computed

46.9% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Computer and Information Systems Managers at the 85th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 3.0 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 17 tasks it averages 2.10 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Provide users with technical support for computer problems, at 73.3%. The least is Assign and review the work of systems analysts, programmers, and other computer-related workers, at 25.0%. A gap of 48.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within management occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 56 roles in the group is 41.2%, and only 4 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 17 tasks, 15 are currently banded exposed, 2 assisted and 0 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take cheaper ways to verify output, since the cost of checking is currently doing more to hold this work in place than the cost of producing it. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

17 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Provide users with technical support for computer problems.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.99exposed
Prepare and review operational reports or project progress reports.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.63exposed
Evaluate data processing proposals to assess project feasibility and requirements.66.7%33.3%0.0%3.59exposed
Stay abreast of advances in technology.60.0%15.0%25.0%3.88exposed
Develop computer information resources, providing for data security and control, strategic computing, and disaster recovery.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.94exposed
Evaluate the organization's technology use and needs and recommend improvements, such as hardware and software upgrades.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.70exposed
Control operational budget and expenditures.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.53exposed
Purchase necessary equipment.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.39exposed
Manage backup, security and user help systems.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.19exposed
Consult with users, management, vendors, and technicians to assess computing needs and system requirements.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.85exposed
Review and approve all systems charts and programs prior to their implementation.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.68exposed
Direct daily operations of department, analyzing workflow, establishing priorities, developing standards and setting deadlines.43.3%31.7%25.0%4.11exposed
Develop and interpret organizational goals, policies, and procedures.43.3%31.7%25.0%3.70exposed
Meet with department heads, managers, supervisors, vendors, and others, to solicit cooperation and resolve problems.31.1%27.2%41.7%4.10exposed
Recruit, hire, train and supervise staff, or participate in staffing decisions.27.2%31.1%41.7%3.88assisted
Review project plans to plan and coordinate project activity.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.08exposed
Assign and review the work of systems analysts, programmers, and other computer-related workers.25.0%50.0%25.0%4.04assisted

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability3.040-4
Embodiment0.050-3
Presence0.770-3
Accountability1.210-3
Context2.100-3
Verification cost1.620-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.