The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 15-1299.09 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Information Technology Project Managers

Plan, initiate, and manage information technology (IT) projects. Lead and guide the work of technical staff. Serve as liaison between business and technical aspects of projects. Plan project stages and assess business implications for each stage. Monitor progress to assure deadlines, standards, and cost targets are met.

Reading this score

computed

46.6% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Information Technology Project Managers at the 84th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.9 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 21 tasks it averages 2.05 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Prepare project status reports by collecting, analyzing, and summarizing information and trends, at 80.0%. The least is Monitor the performance of project team members, providing and documenting performance feedback, at 13.3%. A gap of 66.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within computer and mathematical occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 57.8% across the group's 36 roles, with 33 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 21 tasks, 17 are currently banded exposed, 2 assisted and 2 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take systems being given deeper access to the organisation's own records and history, which is already happening. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

21 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Prepare project status reports by collecting, analyzing, and summarizing information and trends.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.00exposed
Monitor or track project milestones and deliverables.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.29exposed
Initiate, review, or approve modifications to project plans.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.20exposed
Develop or update project plans for information technology projects including information such as project objectives, technologies, systems, information specifications, schedules, funding, and staffing.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.05exposed
Assign duties, responsibilities, and spans of authority to project personnel.66.7%33.3%0.0%3.79exposed
Assess current or future customer needs and priorities by communicating directly with customers, conducting surveys, or other methods.55.0%20.0%25.0%4.20exposed
Develop implementation plans that include analyses such as cost-benefit or return on investment (ROI).55.0%20.0%25.0%4.05exposed
Identify need for initial or supplemental project resources.55.0%20.0%25.0%4.05exposed
Establish and execute a project communication plan.55.0%20.0%25.0%3.90exposed
Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.38exposed
Develop and manage annual budgets for information technology projects.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.95exposed
Develop and manage work breakdown structure (WBS) of information technology projects.47.5%27.5%25.0%3.90exposed
Negotiate with project stakeholders or suppliers to obtain resources or materials.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.71exposed
Perform risk assessments to develop response strategies.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.05exposed
Submit project deliverables, ensuring adherence to quality standards.33.3%29.2%37.5%4.25exposed
Manage project execution to ensure adherence to budget, schedule, and scope.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.48exposed
Schedule and facilitate meetings related to information technology projects.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.16exposed
Direct or coordinate activities of project personnel.20.0%17.5%62.5%4.10untouched
Identify, review, or select vendors or consultants to meet project needs.16.7%33.3%50.0%3.95assisted
Coordinate recruitment or selection of project personnel.16.7%33.3%50.0%3.85assisted
Monitor the performance of project team members, providing and documenting performance feedback.13.3%11.7%75.0%3.85untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.860-4
Embodiment0.120-3
Presence0.980-3
Accountability1.100-3
Context2.050-3
Verification cost1.450-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.