AI exposure: Light Truck Drivers
Drive a light vehicle, such as a truck or van, with a capacity of less than 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW), primarily to pick up merchandise or packages from a distribution center and deliver. May load and unload vehicle.
Reading this score
computedAt 35.9% of weighted task load, Light Truck Drivers sits at the 62th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 50.3% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.
What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 13 tasks it averages 1.88 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.
The most exposed thing this job does is Maintain records, at 80.0%. The least is Perform emergency repairs, at 0.0%. A gap of 80.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.
Within transportation and material moving occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 52 roles in the group is 24.2%, and only 7 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.
What would move this score. Of 13 tasks, 6 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 6 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.
Where the score comes from
judgedEvery task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 1.92 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 1.88 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 0.69 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 0.81 | 0-3 |
| Context | 1.15 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 1.15 | 0-3 |
Task by task
13 tasks, O*NET 31.0| Task | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Importance | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain records, such as vehicle logs, records of cargo, or billing statements, in accordance with regulations. | 80.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 4.41 | exposed |
| Turn in receipts and money received from deliveries. | 80.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 4.67 | exposed |
| Read maps and follow written or verbal geographic directions. | 75.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 4.70 | exposed |
| Verify the contents of inventory loads against shipping papers. | 73.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 4.76 | exposed |
| Report any mechanical problems encountered with vehicles. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 4.79 | exposed |
| Present bills and receipts and collect payments for goods delivered or loaded. | 36.7% | 13.3% | 50.0% | 4.50 | exposed |
| Report delays, accidents, or other traffic and transportation situations to bases or other vehicles, using telephones or mobile two-way radios. | 30.0% | 45.0% | 25.0% | 3.73 | assisted |
| Drive vehicles with capacities under three tons to transport materials to and from specified destinations, such as railroad stations, plants, residences, offices, or within industrial yards. | 11.7% | 13.3% | 75.0% | 4.05 | untouched |
| Inspect and maintain vehicle supplies and equipment, such as gas, oil, water, tires, lights, or brakes, to ensure that vehicles are in proper working condition. | 5.8% | 6.7% | 87.5% | 4.72 | untouched |
| Obey traffic laws and follow established traffic and transportation procedures. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.83 | untouched |
| Load and unload trucks, vans, or automobiles. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.59 | untouched |
| Use and maintain the tools or equipment found on commercial vehicles, such as weighing or measuring devices. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 3.99 | untouched |
| Perform emergency repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, fuses, tire chains, or spark plugs. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 3.59 | untouched |
Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.
Occupations either side of this one
The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.
Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.
What this means in practice
Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.