The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 33-3052.00 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: Transit and Railroad Police

Protect and police railroad and transit property, employees, or passengers.

Reading this score

computed

At 15.7% of weighted task load, Transit and Railroad Police sits at the 25th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 63.3% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is presence. Across this occupation's 12 tasks it averages 2.25 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, a person has to be the one present. This is the friction software does not erode. Where the point of the act is that a human is there, to care or to witness or to take responsibility in the room, automating the output misses what was being paid for.

The most exposed thing this job does is Prepare reports documenting investigation activities and results, at 45.0%. The least is Patrol railroad yards, cars, stations, or other facilities to protect company property or..., at 0.0%. A gap of 45.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within protective service occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 18.9% across the group's 26 roles, with 18 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 12 tasks, 3 are currently banded exposed, 2 assisted and 7 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.460-4
Embodiment1.710-3
Presence2.250-3
Accountability1.620-3
Context2.120-3
Verification cost2.040-3

Task by task

12 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Prepare reports documenting investigation activities and results.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.35exposed
Examine credentials of unauthorized persons attempting to enter secured areas.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.97exposed
Direct or coordinate the daily activities or training of security staff.30.0%20.0%50.0%3.73exposed
Provide training to the public or law enforcement personnel in railroad safety or security.20.0%30.0%50.0%3.81assisted
Plan or implement special safety or preventive programs, such as fire or accident prevention.13.3%36.7%50.0%3.41assisted
Interview neighbors, associates, or former employers of job applicants to verify personal references or to obtain work history data.8.3%16.7%75.0%3.58untouched
Monitor transit areas and conduct security checks to protect railroad properties, patrons, and employees.6.7%18.3%75.0%4.23untouched
Direct security activities at derailments, fires, floods, or strikes involving railroad property.6.7%18.3%75.0%4.09untouched
Enforce traffic laws regarding the transit system and reprimand individuals who violate them.6.7%18.3%75.0%3.92untouched
Investigate or direct investigations of freight theft, suspicious damage or loss of passengers' valuables, or other crimes on railroad property.4.2%20.8%75.0%4.07untouched
Apprehend or remove trespassers or thieves from railroad property or coordinate with law enforcement agencies in apprehensions and removals.1.2%11.2%87.5%4.17untouched
Patrol railroad yards, cars, stations, or other facilities to protect company property or shipments and to maintain order.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.08untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.