The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 15-2031.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Operations Research Analysts

Formulate and apply mathematical modeling and other optimizing methods to develop and interpret information that assists management with decisionmaking, policy formulation, or other managerial functions. May collect and analyze data and develop decision support software, services, or products. May develop and supply optimal time, cost, or logistics networks for program evaluation, review, or implementation.

Reading this score

computed

57.8% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Operations Research Analysts at the 94th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 3.3 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 17 tasks it averages 1.86 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Break systems into their components, assign numerical values to each component, and examine the..., at 83.3%. The least is Educate staff in the use of mathematical models, at 26.7%. A gap of 56.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within computer and mathematical occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 36 roles in the group is 56.7%, and only 17 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 17 tasks, 17 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 0 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take systems being given deeper access to the organisation's own records and history, which is already happening. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

17 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Break systems into their components, assign numerical values to each component, and examine the mathematical relationships between them.83.3%16.7%0.0%3.70exposed
Analyze information obtained from management to conceptualize and define operational problems.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.33exposed
Review research literature.80.0%20.0%0.0%3.50exposed
Define data requirements, and gather and validate information, applying judgment and statistical tests.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.55exposed
Prepare management reports defining and evaluating problems and recommending solutions.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.50exposed
Study and analyze information about alternative courses of action to determine which plan will offer the best outcomes.66.7%33.3%0.0%4.29exposed
Specify manipulative or computational methods to be applied to models.66.7%33.3%0.0%4.05exposed
Develop and apply time and cost networks to plan, control, and review large projects.61.3%26.2%12.5%3.78exposed
Perform validation and testing of models to ensure adequacy, and reformulate models, as necessary.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.52exposed
Collaborate with others in the organization to ensure successful implementation of chosen problem solutions.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.43exposed
Formulate mathematical or simulation models of problems, relating constants and variables, restrictions, alternatives, conflicting objectives, and their numerical parameters.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.38exposed
Collaborate with senior managers and decision makers to identify and solve a variety of problems and to clarify management objectives.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.25exposed
Design, conduct, and evaluate experimental operational models in cases where models cannot be developed from existing data.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.95exposed
Develop business methods and procedures, including accounting systems, file systems, office systems, logistics systems, and production schedules.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.56exposed
Observe the current system in operation, and gather and analyze information about each of the component problems, using a variety of sources.47.5%27.5%25.0%4.38exposed
Present the results of mathematical modeling and data analysis to management or other end users.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.62exposed
Educate staff in the use of mathematical models.26.7%23.3%50.0%3.65exposed

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability3.320-4
Embodiment0.180-3
Presence0.380-3
Accountability0.860-3
Context1.860-3
Verification cost1.450-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.